With Wednesday’s update of 953 new positive tests throughout the state, New Jersey paradoxically would qualify for its personal coronavirus journey advisory — that’s, if the listing was calculated at this time.
New Jersey, New York, and Connecticut have been issuing the joint advisory each Tuesday since late June, calling on vacationers from states that qualify to voluntarily self-quarantine for 14 days after arriving. The listing is designed to guard the tri-state area from COVID-19 hotspots areas throughout the nation.
Any state or territory with greater than 10 circumstances per 100,000 residents or these with a ten% or larger check positivity fee over a seven-day rolling common qualifies for the listing.
New Jersey hasn’t formally been added to the listing, at the very least not but. We’ll have to attend till a brand new one comes out subsequent Tuesday to see if the state nonetheless qualifies. And the numbers might drop sufficient within the subsequent few days to maintain it from becoming a member of.
However New Jersey did simply attain the primary threshold, primarily based on provisional new case totals offered each day by the state.
After asserting 953 more positive tests Wednesday, the Backyard State noticed its seven-day common hit 894, simply above 10 circumstances per 100,000 residents primarily based on New Jersey’s inhabitants of 8.8 million.
That rolling common can also be 32% larger than it was per week earlier.
One caveat: This doesn’t account for circumstances the state deleted over the last week. The state doesn’t announce that every day and notes on its COVID-19 dashboard that new circumstances are “provisional and topic to revision with additional investigation.”
Although the state’s coronavirus numbers are nonetheless far under the state’s spring peak, Gov. Phil Murphy and different state officers have been warning about rising cases in New Jersey. State Well being Commissioner Judith Persichilli stated final week officers are “anticipating a second wave” and stated it may “turn out to be a surge” if residents don’t hold sporting masks, social distancing, and washing palms.
So what does qualifying for the listing imply for New Jersey? It’s unclear.
For starters, the coronavirus journey advisory listing received’t be up to date once more till subsequent Tuesday. New York well being officers calculate which states and territories meet the standards.
The listing was up to date lower than 24 hours in the past to incorporate 38 U.S. states and territories — the biggest it’s ever been. As of then, New Jersey’s rolling seven-day common was under the edge at 831 circumstances.
The state’s rolling common would wish keep above 888 circumstances till Monday for it to be added to the subsequent weekly listing. That may very well be a problem with out main each day will increase, particularly as a result of last Thursday’s one-day total of 1,301 cases wouldn’t be included anymore.
Nonetheless, Wednesday marked the primary time since late Might — earlier than the journey advisories began — that New Jersey had back-to-back days of greater than 900 circumstances.
Already, three New Jersey counties have had infection rates that will have triggered a quarantine if the state utilized the usual on a county stage.
If localized outbreaks proceed to escalate, that would imply individuals touring from New Jersey and New Jerseyans who journey to New York or Connecticut could also be requested to self-quarantine for 14 days. Individuals touring for enterprise are exempt from the advisory.
What about shutting down New Jersey once more? Murphy stated final week he doesn’t expect to have to issue another widespread state lockdown once more, the best way he did in March. As a substitute, he stated, officers usually tend to institute extra localized restrictions.
Requested final week about what occurs if New Jersey qualifies for the advisory, Murphy stated state officers are “doing all the pieces we will to maintain it under the road.”
Michael Zhadanovsky, a spokesman for Murphy’s workplace, stated Wednesday that “whereas the virus clearly stays a menace statewide, the Administration is carefully monitoring key counties and localities at present experiencing elevated case numbers.”
“Because the Governor indicated final Monday, new statewide restrictions usually are not anticipated presently; nevertheless, all choices stay on the desk for extra focused restrictions on the native stage,” Zhadanovsky added.
NJ Advance Media employees author Arjun Kakkar contributed to this report.
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