Democrats mentioned they had been targeted on mobilizing present voters reasonably than registering new ones, however additionally they pointed to information from TargetSmart, a Democratic polling agency, suggesting that newly registered voters in Pennsylvania had been extra prone to vote Democrat than Republican.
Brendan Welch, a spokesman for the Pennsylvania Democratic Get together, mentioned that Republicans’ beneficial properties might be traced to voters who had been beforehand registered as Democrats however who had voted Republican for years, and cited Republican registration will increase in counties that Mr. Trump carried in 2016.
“These are principally the sort of people who’ve been registered Democrats because the days of Jimmy Carter vs. Gerald Ford, however who’ve been voting Republican because the days of George Bush vs. Al Gore,” Mr. Welch mentioned.
The same dynamic could also be at work in North Carolina, the place Republicans have narrowed the hole in registrations. Data present Democrats misplaced 136,000 voters since 2016 whereas Republicans gained 100,000, although Democrats nonetheless lead in general registrations by 400,000, with 2.6 million Democrats and a couple of.2 million Republicans.
The Democrats’ general loss within the state stems from a 2019 purge of inactive voters that disproportionately affected Democrats, mentioned J. Michael Bitzer, a professor of political science at Catawba School in North Carolina. Some 235,000 Democrats and 146,000 Republicans had been faraway from the rolls.
Since 2016, Dr. Bitzer mentioned, Democrats have proven beneficial properties by one other metric — the variety of newly registered voters within the state.
“The national narrative of merely taking the web numbers of registered Democrats and Republicans on this state belies the truth that amongst new registered voters, Democrats have, in whole, held their very own in opposition to Republicans,” he mentioned.